XRP Price Prediction This Week: The $1.52 Line to Watch
My XRP price prediction for this week comes down to one line: $1.52. If XRP closes a green daily candle above $1.5208 on Tuesday, I think it can run to about $1.57 before the week is over. If it closes below $1.33, I think the setup is broken. As of October 5, 2026, XRP was trading around $1.51. Here is how I got those levels, what I am watching on HYPE, and why the stock market has me nervous right now.
Key takeaways
- XRP was around $1.51 on October 5, 2026. The line I am watching is $1.5208.
- A green daily close above $1.52 on Tuesday sets up a run to about $1.57 this week.
- A daily close below $1.33 would tell me the strength is gone.
- On the weekly chart, XRP is pressing on its 50 EMA. I expect a break above it within two to four weeks.
- HYPE was about $90. A big green candle sets up $97, and I think $100 comes before the end of the year. A weekly close at $77 or below changes that.
- The stock market is stretched far above its 5 EMA, and that has me nervous.
Where XRP is right now
On Friday, XRP was all the way down around $1.48. It moved over the weekend, and by the time the weekend was over it was near $1.52. When I made this video on Monday, it was around $1.51. So we are up about 3 cents from Friday.
Everybody is waiting for the God candle. That is the one giant green candle that just takes off. We are not there yet. But the setup is getting close, and I want to show you exactly what I need to see first.
The 5 EMA retest I always expect
The green line on my chart is the 5 EMA. EMA stands for exponential moving average. The 5 is the quick one, and it gives me a lot of guidance. On the XRP daily chart, the 5 EMA was at $1.5056.
Any time price moves up and away from the 5, I expect it to come back and test it. Usually that shows up as a wick down that touches the line. I am never surprised to see it. After that touch, you can get a really nice bounce.
The pattern I like is simple. First you get a big green candle way higher. I call it a green pepper. Then you get a small red pullback the next day. Then the following day, it takes off above both. That is the pattern I was looking for this week.
My XRP price prediction: the $1.52 breakout line
If you want one line to watch, here it is: $1.5208. If XRP goes over that line and we get a green closing candle above it on Tuesday, that is what the setup calls for.
If that happens, I think XRP gets up to roughly $1.57 before the end of the week. Break $1.52 tomorrow, go to $1.57 by Friday. That is my call. But those are some big shoes to fill. We do not know yet if it will happen.
The weekly chart: the 50 EMA is the wall
Now pull up the weekly chart. A few weeks ago I told you XRP had to get up and retest the 50 EMA on the weekly. That is exactly what it did. It pushed down and hit the 5, pushed back up, pushed back down to the 5, pushed back up, and then retested the 50. That is textbook technical analysis.
The weekly 50 EMA sits right around $1.51 to $1.52. That is the resistance. From here I see one of two paths. Path one, XRP pushes down to about $1.4679, which is the 5 EMA on the weekly, hits it, and bounces. Path two, it breaks straight through the 50.
The weekly RSI is at 56. That is a nice, bullish reading. There is nothing wrong with it. The 5 and the 13 are both rising. The one thing missing is the break above the 50. I believe it is going to happen. I am on the side that this will not be resistance for much longer, and that within the next two to four weeks, including this week, XRP breaks north. Once it gets above $1.52, buckle up, kids.
The line that would make me nervous on XRP
A lot of you ask me where to set a stop loss. Here is what would make me nervous: about $1.33. If XRP gets below $1.33 and a candle closes below it, that tells me everything changed for the worse. The strength is gone and the weakness is back. The 5 EMA would be getting ready to cross under the 13. It would just be ugly.
If XRP comes down, tags that area and bounces, then we are trading in a small channel between about $1.33 and $1.52 until it breaks out one way or the other. That is how I am watching it.
HYPE: $100 is only about $10 away
I own a big bag of HYPE, the token behind Hyperliquid, so I watch it closely. On the weekly chart, HYPE is above the 5 and had a nice run up. Remember the pattern I told you about: a little red candle down, then a big green candle up. That normally leads to a nice gain, and that is what we got. Then it came back to the 5 to retest. Usually the next leg up follows. I am expecting a takeoff within the next two to four weeks.
Here is my line on the downside. If HYPE finishes a week at $77 or below, the setup I am looking for is over. In that case I think it goes way back down to the weekly 50 EMA, around $57. Yes, that can happen.
On the daily chart, HYPE had a nice run, came down to the 13 EMA, bounced, dipped a little under the 13, and is now working its way up. It got back above the 13 with a massive candle. What I want on Tuesday is another big green candle. If we get it, I believe HYPE goes back up to retest $97. With HYPE around $90, it is only about $10 from $100, and I think it gets there before the end of the year. I laid out the longer view in my XRP and HYPE price targets for the next 12 months.
Why do I like it? This project does well. It has real revenue. They keep doing things, and they keep changing everything. I love it. I also think that after the elections next month, you could see a lot of positive movement in crypto. That is what I think. It does not mean it will happen.
Why the stock market has me nervous
The link between the stock market and crypto is still strong, so I always check the QQQ, the big Nasdaq 100 fund. Right now I see a huge gap between price and the 5 EMA. When I see that, I expect a wick back down to the 5 within the next three candles. I cannot tell you which one. But that is normally how it goes on these big runs.
The Bollinger Bands are opening wide and price is making new higher highs. That can bring more steam. It can also be the setup for a blow off top. We did not get any big peace deals. I have to be honest with you: I am now at the point where I am terrified of these markets. I am going to be making moves to deal with it, and I will share them on YouTube over the next few weeks.
Gas prices and the energy crisis
The energy crisis is not over. I am seeing signs of things breaking, and I am seeing reserves drained. Gas did drop a little where I live. It went from $4.39 to $4.29 a gallon. But before this all started, I was paying $2.89.
So should I be happy that I am paying $1.40 a gallon more right before winter, when it gets cold and I start using more energy? I do not think so. What are you paying where you live, and is it hitting your budget?
Common questions
What is your XRP price prediction for this week?
If XRP closes a green daily candle above $1.5208 on Tuesday, I think it reaches about $1.57 by the end of the week. As of October 5, 2026, it was around $1.51.
What is the 5 EMA?
It is the 5 period exponential moving average, a fast line that follows price closely. When price runs far above it, I expect a pullback that touches the line before the next move up.
What XRP price would break the bullish setup?
A daily candle that closes below about $1.33. That would tell me the strength is gone and the weakness is back.
What is your HYPE price target?
With HYPE around $90, I am watching for a retest of $97, and I think it can reach $100 before the end of 2026. A weekly close at $77 or below would change my view.
Does the stock market affect XRP?
Yes. The link between stocks and crypto is still strong, which is why I check the QQQ chart along with my crypto charts.
Keep reading on Stock Moe
- XRP Price Prediction: The $28 Target and the Real Odds
- XRP and HYPE Update: What I Am Buying and Why
- XRP and HYPE After the Biggest Short Squeeze Since January
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Sources
- Stock Moe, “XRP HYPE Price Pump Incoming?!” YouTube video, October 5, 2026
- TradingView XRP/USDT daily and weekly charts (Binance), shown in the video, October 5, 2026
- TradingView HYPE/USD daily and weekly charts (Pyth), shown in the video, October 5, 2026
- Invesco QQQ daily chart, shown in the video, October 5, 2026
- Local gas prices reported by Stock Moe in the video, October 5, 2026
I am not a financial advisor and nothing in this article is financial advice. Everything here is my own opinion, for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do your own research and talk to a licensed professional before you make any financial decision.
